Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Comares: PP would win a majority

Comares (Málaga, 1,320 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 46.1% of the vote (2023: 45.9%) Majority 45%
AVCM±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 44.7% of the vote (2023: 42.3%) Majority 36%
PSOE-A−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.8% of the vote (2023: 11.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 19% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Comares

Comares is a municipality in the province of Málaga with 1,320 inhabitants, the 71st largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 45.9% of the vote and 4 seats; AVCM was second with 4. 82.4% of the 862 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 45% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 45.9% → 46.1% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. AVCMLocal lists 42.3% → 44.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOE-APSOE 11.4% → 8.8% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 710 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Comares in size, in Málaga

Every municipality in Málaga → · All of Spain →