España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Alhaurín de la Torre: PP would keep its majority

Alhaurín de la Torre (Málaga, 42,531 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
13 councillors (2023: 13) · 56.1% of the vote (2023: 56.4%) Majority 97%
PSOE-A−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 22.5% of the vote (2023: 25.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 7.5%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.4% of the vote (2023: 6.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Alhaurín de la Torre

Alhaurín de la Torre is a municipality in the province of Málaga with 42,531 inhabitants, the 10th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 56.4% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 6. 56.2% of the 31,914 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 13 seats, a majority, which it holds in 97% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 56.4% → 56.1% 13 → 13 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 25.7% → 22.5% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.5% → 13.4% 1 → 3 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 6.8% → 4.4% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. POR MI PUEBLOLocal lists 1.5% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 1.0% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 17,930 valid votes including 184 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alhaurín de la Torre in size, in Málaga

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