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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Madrid

Villaviciosa de Odón: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Villaviciosa de Odón (Madrid, 28,152 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 31.9% of the vote (2023: 33.3%) Majority 2%
VOX+3
7 councillors (2023: 4) · 26.0% of the vote (2023: 17.5%) Majority 0%
EL BOSQUE EXISTE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.1% of the vote (2023: 10.9%) Majority 0%
AGRUPACION ELECTORES VILLA 2023-2027±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.7% of the vote (2023: 7.5%) Majority 0%
V S M±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.3% of the vote (2023: 7.1%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 5.9% of the vote (2023: 8.7%) Majority 0%
MM-VQ VILLAVICIOSA−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.6% of the vote (2023: 6.1%) Majority 0%
IU - PODEMOS - AV−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 2.9% of the vote (2023: 5.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Villaviciosa de Odón

Villaviciosa de Odón is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 28,152 inhabitants, the 29th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 33.3% of the vote and 8 seats; VOX was second with 4. 73.4% of the 21,522 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 8 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 33.3% → 31.9% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. VOXVox 17.5% → 26.0% 4 → 7 councillors
  3. EL BOSQUE EXISTELocal lists 10.9% → 11.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. AGRUPACION ELECTORES VILLA 2023-2027Local lists 7.5% → 7.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. V S MLocal lists 7.1% → 7.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. PSOEPSOE 8.7% → 5.9% 2 → 1 councillors
  7. MM-VQ VILLAVICIOSASumar, Podemos and allies 6.1% → 3.6% 1 → 0 councillors
  8. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 5.2% → 2.9% 1 → 0 councillors
  9. CSCiudadanos 1.9% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 15,796 valid votes including 267 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Villaviciosa de Odón in size, in Madrid

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