Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Torrelodones: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Torrelodones (Madrid, 24,775 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 34.5% of the vote (2023: 36.4%) Majority 2%
VT±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 30.0% of the vote (2023: 29.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
6 councillors (2023: 4) · 26.1% of the vote (2023: 17.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.1% of the vote (2023: 6.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 36.4% → 34.5% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. VTLocal lists 29.8% → 30.0% 7 → 7 councillors
  3. VOXVox 17.9% → 26.1% 4 → 6 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 6.9% → 4.1% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 2.1% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. MM-VQ TORRELODONESSumar, Podemos and allies 3.8% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 1.6% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 13,787 valid votes including 217 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Torrelodones in size, in Madrid

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