Villar del Olmo: PP would keep its majority
Villar del Olmo (Madrid, 2,219 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 61%PP majority
- 1,018valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 38% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Villar del Olmo
Villar del Olmo is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 2,219 inhabitants, the 111th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 48.9% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 63.2% of the 1,610 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 61% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 48.9% → 46.8% 6 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 19.0% → 27.5% 2 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 20.9% → 17.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 8.7% → 5.9% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,018 valid votes including 25 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.