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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Madrid

Perales de Tajuña: PP would keep its majority

Perales de Tajuña (Madrid, 3,117 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 48.2% of the vote (2023: 48.5%) Majority 56%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 35.9% of the vote (2023: 39.4%) Majority 5%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 7.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 39% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Perales de Tajuña

Perales de Tajuña is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 3,117 inhabitants, the 98th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 48.5% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 5. 72.2% of the 2,227 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 56% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 48.5% → 48.2% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 39.4% → 35.9% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.3% → 13.2% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,608 valid votes including 34 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Perales de Tajuña in size, in Madrid

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