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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Madrid

Paracuellos de Jarama: PP would keep its majority

Paracuellos de Jarama (Madrid, 26,450 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
11 councillors (2023: 11) · 43.7% of the vote (2023: 44.2%) Majority 63%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.8% of the vote (2023: 10.1%) Majority 0%
CONTIGO±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 12.8% of the vote (2023: 12.2%) Majority 0%
ICXP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.8% of the vote (2023: 8.4%) Majority 0%
SMM−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 6.8% of the vote (2023: 9.5%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.5% of the vote (2023: 7.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 37% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Paracuellos de Jarama

Paracuellos de Jarama is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 26,450 inhabitants, the 30th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 44.2% of the vote and 11 seats, an absolute majority; CONTIGO was second with 3. 71.8% of the 17,183 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 11 seats, a majority, which it holds in 63% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 44.2% → 43.7% 11 → 11 councillors
  2. VOXVox 10.1% → 16.8% 2 → 4 councillors
  3. CONTIGOLocal lists 12.2% → 12.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. ICXPLocal lists 8.4% → 8.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. SMMSumar, Podemos and allies 9.5% → 6.8% 2 → 1 councillors
  6. PSOEPSOE 7.1% → 4.5% 1 → 0 councillors
  7. MVPLocal lists 2.7% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.5% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. CSCiudadanos 1.3% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 12,336 valid votes including 110 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Paracuellos de Jarama in size, in Madrid

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