Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Navas del Rey: no list would have a majority, 'CASEROS' largest

Navas del Rey (Madrid, 3,134 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

'CASEROS'−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 46.6% of the vote (2023: 45.2%) Majority 49%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 33.6% of the vote (2023: 34.6%) Majority 2%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.9% of the vote (2023: 12.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.7% of the vote (2023: 4.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 49% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Navas del Rey

Navas del Rey is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 3,134 inhabitants, the 97th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 'CASEROS' came first with 45.2% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 76.6% of the 2,206 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: 'CASEROS' would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. 'CASEROS'Local lists 45.2% → 46.6% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 34.6% → 33.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 12.8% → 9.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 4.1% → 8.7% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,689 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Navas del Rey in size, in Madrid

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