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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Madrid

Navalcarnero: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Navalcarnero (Madrid, 31,379 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 37.8% of the vote (2023: 41.5%) Majority 9%
PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 26.4% of the vote (2023: 27.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.7% of the vote (2023: 12.3%) Majority 0%
VECINOS POR NAVALCARNERO±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 9.3% of the vote (2023: 8.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 91% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Navalcarnero

Navalcarnero is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 31,379 inhabitants, the 28th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 41.5% of the vote and 10 seats; PP was second with 6. 67.7% of the 22,088 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 9 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 41.5% → 37.8% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. PPPP 27.1% → 26.4% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 12.3% → 19.7% 3 → 4 councillors
  4. VECINOS POR NAVALCARNEROLocal lists 8.9% → 9.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 2.7% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. MM-VQ NAVALCARNEROSumar, Podemos and allies 5.0% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 1.4% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 14,949 valid votes including 188 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Navalcarnero in size, in Madrid

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