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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Madrid

Arroyomolinos: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Arroyomolinos (Madrid, 34,833 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 34.0% of the vote (2023: 35.2%) Majority 2%
VOX+2
7 councillors (2023: 5) · 29.7% of the vote (2023: 20.3%) Majority 0%
VECINOS ARROYOMOLINOS±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 11.8%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 10.7% of the vote (2023: 13.7%) Majority 0%
MAS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.4% of the vote (2023: 6.2%) Majority 0%
MM-VQ ARROYOMOLINOS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.5% of the vote (2023: 7.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Arroyomolinos

Arroyomolinos is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 34,833 inhabitants, the 27th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 35.2% of the vote and 8 seats; VOX was second with 5. 69.9% of the 24,434 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 8 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 35.2% → 34.0% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. VOXVox 20.3% → 29.7% 5 → 7 councillors
  3. VECINOS ARROYOMOLINOSLocal lists 11.8% → 12.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 13.7% → 10.7% 3 → 2 councillors
  5. MASLocal lists 6.2% → 6.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. MM-VQ ARROYOMOLINOSSumar, Podemos and allies 7.0% → 4.5% 1 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. IUSumar, Podemos and allies 1.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 17,072 valid votes including 308 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Arroyomolinos in size, in Madrid

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