San Fernando de Henares: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
San Fernando de Henares (Madrid, 38,904 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 57%PSOE majority
- 20,250valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 43% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About San Fernando de Henares
San Fernando de Henares is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 38,904 inhabitants, the 25th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 43.4% of the vote and 12 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 6. 70.2% of the 28,832 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 10 of 21.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 43.4% → 40.9% 12 → 10 councillors
- PPPP 22.7% → 22.6% 6 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 6.8% → 12.8% 1 → 3 councillors
- HACER NACIONLocal lists 4.8% → 5.2% 0 → 1 councillors
- PACTLocal lists 4.7% → 5.1% 0 → 1 councillors
- MM-VQ SAN FERNANDO DE HENARESSumar, Podemos and allies 7.1% → 4.8% 2 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.8% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- CONTIGOLocal lists 2.2% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 4.5% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 20,250 valid votes including 191 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.