Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Morata de Tajuña: PP would keep its majority

Morata de Tajuña (Madrid, 7,960 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
9 councillors (2023: 8) · 56.8% of the vote (2023: 55.1%) Majority 98%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 24.5% of the vote (2023: 26.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.9% of the vote (2023: 3.9%) Majority 0%
PODEMOS-IU-AV−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.5% of the vote (2023: 6.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Morata de Tajuña

Morata de Tajuña is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 7,960 inhabitants, the 64th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 55.1% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 66.7% of the 5,838 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 98% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 55.1% → 56.8% 8 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 26.8% → 24.5% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 3.9% → 8.9% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 6.7% → 4.5% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. MM-VQ MORATA DE TAJUÑASumar, Podemos and allies 6.1% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. FE DE LAS JONSLocal lists 0.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,892 valid votes including 41 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Morata de Tajuña in size, in Madrid

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