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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Madrid

Cobeña: PP would keep its majority

Cobeña (Madrid, 7,551 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 51.8% of the vote (2023: 53.5%) Majority 91%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 19.8% of the vote (2023: 12.8%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.5% of the vote (2023: 17.8%) Majority 0%
V.DE.C.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.5% of the vote (2023: 7.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 9% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cobeña

Cobeña is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 7,551 inhabitants, the 68th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 53.5% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 72.8% of the 5,236 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 91% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 53.5% → 51.8% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. VOXVox 12.8% → 19.8% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 17.8% → 14.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. V.DE.C.Local lists 7.3% → 7.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 4.8% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 2.2% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,812 valid votes including 63 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cobeña in size, in Madrid

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