El Vellón: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
El Vellón (Madrid, 2,124 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 64%no list with a majority
- 981valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 64% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About El Vellón
El Vellón is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 2,124 inhabitants, the 113th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 51% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 66.6% of the 1,474 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 51.0% → 45.7% 6 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 35.6% → 34.0% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 12.4% → 19.3% 1 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 981 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.