Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cenicientos: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Cenicientos (Madrid, 2,089 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 43.7% of the vote (2023: 42.5%) Majority 35%
PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 42.6% of the vote (2023: 44.8%) Majority 29%
COMCE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.8% of the vote (2023: 11.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 35% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cenicientos

Cenicientos is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 2,089 inhabitants, the 114th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 44.8% of the vote and 5 seats; PP was second with 5. 79.9% of the 1,652 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 42.5% → 43.7% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 44.8% → 42.6% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. COMCESumar, Podemos and allies 11.3% → 8.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 0.7% → 4.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 0.3% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,320 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cenicientos in size, in Madrid

Every municipality in Madrid → · All of Spain →