Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cabanillas de la Sierra: SOMOS CABANILLAS would keep its majority

Cabanillas de la Sierra (Madrid, 874 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

SOMOS CABANILLAS±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 47.6% of the vote (2023: 48.3%) Majority 60%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 44.6% of the vote (2023: 47.7%) Majority 40%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Cabanillas de la Sierra

Cabanillas de la Sierra is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 874 inhabitants, the 138th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 SOMOS CABANILLAS came first with 48.3% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 82.8% of the 696 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps SOMOS CABANILLAS on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 60% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. SOMOS CABANILLASLocal lists 48.3% → 47.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 47.7% → 44.6% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 2.4% → 6.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 576 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cabanillas de la Sierra in size, in Madrid

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