Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

El Berrueco: PP would keep its majority

El Berrueco (Madrid, 801 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 56.1% of the vote (2023: 54.3%) Majority 97%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.6% of the vote (2023: 22.9%) Majority 0%
MM-VQ EL BERRUECO±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 18.7% of the vote (2023: 21.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 54.3% → 56.1% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 22.9% → 20.6% 2 → 1 councillors
  3. MM-VQ EL BERRUECOSumar, Podemos and allies 21.8% → 18.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 0.4% → 4.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 449 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Berrueco in size, in Madrid

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