Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Villamanrique de Tajo: PP would keep its majority

Villamanrique de Tajo (Madrid, 757 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 52.5% of the vote (2023: 54.0%) Majority 78%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 33.2% of the vote (2023: 37.5%) Majority 2%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 7.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 20% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 54.0% → 52.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 37.5% → 33.2% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.7% → 13.4% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 467 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Villamanrique de Tajo in size, in Madrid

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