España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Arganda del Rey: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Arganda del Rey (Madrid, 57,553 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
11 councillors (2023: 11) · 40.0% of the vote (2023: 39.9%) Majority 18%
PSOE−1
10 councillors (2023: 11) · 35.9% of the vote (2023: 38.9%) Majority 3%
VOX+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 17.1% of the vote (2023: 10.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 79% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Arganda del Rey

Arganda del Rey is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 57,553 inhabitants, the 21st largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 39.9% of the vote and 11 seats; PSOE was second with 11. 64.7% of the 39,652 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 11 of 25.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 39.9% → 40.0% 11 → 11 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 38.9% → 35.9% 11 → 10 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.1% → 17.1% 3 → 4 councillors
  4. MM-VQ ARGANDA DEL REYSumar, Podemos and allies 4.6% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 2.0% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.4% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 25,674 valid votes including 275 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Arganda del Rey in size, in Madrid

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