Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Alpedrete: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Alpedrete (Madrid, 15,006 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 36.9% of the vote (2023: 37.5%) Majority 8%
VOX+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.7% of the vote (2023: 14.6%) Majority 0%
UN.P.A.+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.9% of the vote (2023: 14.3%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.8% of the vote (2023: 10.5%) Majority 0%
MM-VQ ALPEDRETE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.0% of the vote (2023: 9.7%) Majority 0%
PODEMOS-IU-AV±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.0% of the vote (2023: 9.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 92% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 37.5% → 36.9% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. VOXVox 14.6% → 22.7% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. UN.P.A.Local lists 14.3% → 14.9% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 10.5% → 7.8% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. MM-VQ ALPEDRETESumar, Podemos and allies 9.7% → 7.0% 2 → 1 councillors
  6. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 9.7% → 7.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 1.9% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,031 valid votes including 136 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alpedrete in size, in Madrid

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