El Escorial: no list would have a majority, PP largest
El Escorial (Madrid, 16,618 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 53%no list with a majority
- 8,865valid votes in 2023 (69% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
8
councillors (2023: 9) · 40.1% of the vote (2023: 40.8%)
Majority 47%
VOX+2
4
councillors (2023: 2) · 20.7% of the vote (2023: 13.1%)
Majority 0%
PSOE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 14.5% of the vote (2023: 17.5%)
Majority 0%
HEE+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 8.8%)
Majority 0%
IU - PODEMOS - AV−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 3.5% of the vote (2023: 5.8%)
Majority 0%
MM-VQ EL ESCORIAL−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 2.8% of the vote (2023: 5.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 53% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 40.8% → 40.1% 9 → 8 councillors
- VOXVox 13.1% → 20.7% 2 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 17.5% → 14.5% 3 → 3 councillors
- HEELocal lists 8.8% → 9.1% 1 → 2 councillors
- AENLocal lists 4.0% → 4.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 5.8% → 3.5% 1 → 0 councillors
- MALocal lists 3.2% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- MM-VQ EL ESCORIALSumar, Podemos and allies 5.0% → 2.8% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,865 valid votes including 157 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.