Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Valdemorillo: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Valdemorillo (Madrid, 13,453 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 27.1% of the vote (2023: 28.0%) Majority under 1%
VOX+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 21.4% of the vote (2023: 13.7%) Majority 0%
VVAL+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 12.7%) Majority 0%
OVAL±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 12.4%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 11.1% of the vote (2023: 14.1%) Majority 0%
MM-VQ VALDEMORILLO−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.7% of the vote (2023: 7.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 28.0% → 27.1% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. VOXVox 13.7% → 21.4% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. VVALLocal lists 12.7% → 13.2% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. OVALLocal lists 12.4% → 12.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. PSOEPSOE 14.1% → 11.1% 3 → 2 councillors
  6. MM-VQ VALDEMORILLOSumar, Podemos and allies 7.2% → 4.7% 1 → 0 councillors
  7. UCINLocal lists 2.8% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 4.8% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. CSCiudadanos 2.2% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,597 valid votes including 130 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valdemorillo in size, in Madrid

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