Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Velilla de San Antonio: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Velilla de San Antonio (Madrid, 12,770 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 32.0% of the vote (2023: 34.9%) Majority 2%
PP+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 23.2% of the vote (2023: 23.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.8% of the vote (2023: 9.9%) Majority 0%
HACER NACION±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.7% of the vote (2023: 11.9%) Majority 0%
MM-VQ VELILLA DE SAN ANTONIO−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 9.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 34.9% → 32.0% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 23.6% → 23.2% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.9% → 16.8% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. HACER NACIONLocal lists 11.9% → 12.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. MM-VQ VELILLA DE SAN ANTONIOSumar, Podemos and allies 9.7% → 7.1% 2 → 1 councillors
  6. PACMALocal lists 3.2% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 4.3% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. CSCiudadanos 1.4% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,849 valid votes including 85 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Velilla de San Antonio in size, in Madrid

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