Valdemorillo: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Valdemorillo (Madrid, 13,453 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 6,597valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Valdemorillo
Valdemorillo is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 13,453 inhabitants, the 47th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 28% of the vote and 6 seats; PSOE was second with 3. 66.1% of the 9,984 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 6 of 17.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 28.0% → 27.1% 6 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 13.7% → 21.4% 3 → 4 councillors
- VVALLocal lists 12.7% → 13.2% 2 → 3 councillors
- OVALLocal lists 12.4% → 12.9% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 14.1% → 11.1% 3 → 2 councillors
- MM-VQ VALDEMORILLOSumar, Podemos and allies 7.2% → 4.7% 1 → 0 councillors
- UCINLocal lists 2.8% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 4.8% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.2% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,597 valid votes including 130 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.