Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Alcobendas: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Alcobendas (Madrid, 117,041 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
13 councillors (2023: 13) · 42.4% of the vote (2023: 42.6%) Majority 35%
PSOE−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 26.2% of the vote (2023: 29.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.3% of the vote (2023: 11.1%) Majority 0%
F-CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.3% of the vote (2023: 5.1%) Majority 0%
MM-VQ ALCOBENDAS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.5% of the vote (2023: 5.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 65% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Alcobendas

Alcobendas is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 117,041 inhabitants, the 10th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 27 seats, and 14 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 42.6% of the vote and 13 seats; PSOE was second with 9. 69.3% of the 82,322 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 13 of 27.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 42.6% → 42.4% 13 → 13 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 29.3% → 26.2% 9 → 8 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.1% → 18.3% 3 → 5 councillors
  4. F-CSLocal lists 5.1% → 5.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. MM-VQ ALCOBENDASSumar, Podemos and allies 5.8% → 3.5% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. X ALCOBENDASLocal lists 1.5% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.3% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. PHLocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 57,026 valid votes including 620 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alcobendas in size, in Madrid

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