Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

San Sebastián de los Reyes: no list would have a majority, PP largest

San Sebastián de los Reyes (Madrid, 91,083 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
11 councillors (2023: 11) · 39.8% of the vote (2023: 40.1%) Majority 19%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 17.4% of the vote (2023: 20.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 16.8% of the vote (2023: 10.1%) Majority 0%
II-ISSR±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 12.2%) Majority 0%
VXSSR-CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.8% of the vote (2023: 5.5%) Majority 0%
MM-VQ SAN SEBASTIAN DE LOS REYES−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.6% of the vote (2023: 5.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 81% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 40.1% → 39.8% 11 → 11 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 20.3% → 17.4% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.1% → 16.8% 3 → 5 councillors
  4. II-ISSRLocal lists 12.2% → 12.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  5. VXSSR-CSLocal lists 5.5% → 5.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. MM-VQ SAN SEBASTIAN DE LOS REYESSumar, Podemos and allies 5.9% → 3.6% 1 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 4.4% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. PHLocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 46,621 valid votes including 576 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near San Sebastián de los Reyes in size, in Madrid

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