Valdemoro: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Valdemoro (Madrid, 79,100 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 25councillors, 13 for a majority
- 96%no list with a majority
- 37,677valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
10
councillors (2023: 11) · 35.6% of the vote (2023: 35.9%)
Majority 4%
VOX+3
7
councillors (2023: 4) · 25.2% of the vote (2023: 16.3%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 22.3% of the vote (2023: 25.3%)
Majority 0%
MM-VQ VALDEMORO−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 6.9% of the vote (2023: 9.5%)
Majority 0%
VEXVAL±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 5.5% of the vote (2023: 5.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 35.9% → 35.6% 11 → 10 councillors
- VOXVox 16.3% → 25.2% 4 → 7 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 25.3% → 22.3% 7 → 6 councillors
- MM-VQ VALDEMOROSumar, Podemos and allies 9.5% → 6.9% 2 → 1 councillors
- VEXVALLocal lists 5.2% → 5.5% 1 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.4% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- IUSumar, Podemos and allies 1.3% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 37,677 valid votes including 605 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Valdemoro in size, in Madrid
- Coslada80,596 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Majadahonda72,179 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Pozuelo de Alarcón87,728 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- San Sebastián de los Reyes91,083 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Las Rozas de Madrid95,725 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Rivas-Vaciamadrid96,690 inhabitants · 25 councillors