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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Madrid

Valdemoro: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Valdemoro (Madrid, 79,100 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
10 councillors (2023: 11) · 35.6% of the vote (2023: 35.9%) Majority 4%
VOX+3
7 councillors (2023: 4) · 25.2% of the vote (2023: 16.3%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 22.3% of the vote (2023: 25.3%) Majority 0%
MM-VQ VALDEMORO−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 6.9% of the vote (2023: 9.5%) Majority 0%
VEXVAL±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.5% of the vote (2023: 5.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 35.9% → 35.6% 11 → 10 councillors
  2. VOXVox 16.3% → 25.2% 4 → 7 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 25.3% → 22.3% 7 → 6 councillors
  4. MM-VQ VALDEMOROSumar, Podemos and allies 9.5% → 6.9% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. VEXVALLocal lists 5.2% → 5.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 2.4% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. IUSumar, Podemos and allies 1.3% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 37,677 valid votes including 605 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valdemoro in size, in Madrid

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