Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Parla: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Parla (Madrid, 130,577 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
11 councillors (2023: 11) · 34.9% of the vote (2023: 37.9%) Majority 7%
PP±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 30.4% of the vote (2023: 30.6%) Majority 2%
VOX+3
6 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.6% of the vote (2023: 12.0%) Majority 0%
MM-VQ PARLA−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 5.1% of the vote (2023: 7.5%) Majority 0%
PODEMOS-IU-AV−2
0 councillors (2023: 2) · 4.7% of the vote (2023: 7.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 91% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 37.9% → 34.9% 11 → 11 councillors
  2. PPPP 30.6% → 30.4% 9 → 9 councillors
  3. VOXVox 12.0% → 19.6% 3 → 6 councillors
  4. MM-VQ PARLASumar, Podemos and allies 7.5% → 5.1% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 7.0% → 4.7% 2 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 1.8% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PACMALocal lists 1.6% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. CONTIGOLocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. PCPELocal lists 0.2% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 48,826 valid votes including 555 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Parla in size, in Madrid

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