Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

A Pontenova: PSDEG-PSOE would keep its majority

A Pontenova (Lugo, 2,191 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSDEG-PSOE±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 56.6% of the vote (2023: 62.1%) Majority 94%
PP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.9% of the vote (2023: 24.1%) Majority 0%
B.N.G.+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.6% of the vote (2023: 12.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 6% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About A Pontenova

A Pontenova is a municipality in the province of Lugo with 2,191 inhabitants, the 36th largest of its 67 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSDEG-PSOE came first with 62.1% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 74.7% of the 1,892 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSDEG-PSOE on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 94% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 62.1% → 56.6% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 24.1% → 22.9% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. B.N.G.BNG 12.8% → 19.6% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,413 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near A Pontenova in size, in Lugo

Every municipality in Lugo → · All of Spain →