Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Lourenzá: PSDEG-PSOE would keep its majority

Lourenzá (Lugo, 2,115 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSDEG-PSOE−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 55.8% of the vote (2023: 60.7%) Majority 94%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 26.4% of the vote (2023: 27.3%) Majority 0%
B.N.G.+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.4% of the vote (2023: 10.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 6% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 60.7% → 55.8% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 27.3% → 26.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. B.N.G.BNG 10.6% → 16.4% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,398 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Lourenzá in size, in Lugo

Every municipality in Lugo → · All of Spain →