Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sober: PP would keep its majority

Sober (Lugo, 2,213 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
9 councillors (2023: 8) · 69.8% of the vote (2023: 68.6%) Majority over 99%
I.G.V.- C.I.F.±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.4% of the vote (2023: 21.1%) Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.5% of the vote (2023: 9.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 68.6% → 69.8% 8 → 9 councillors
  2. I.G.V.- C.I.F.Local lists 21.1% → 22.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 9.1% → 6.5% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,406 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sober in size, in Lugo

Every municipality in Lugo → · All of Spain →