Vallfogona de Balaguer: CM would keep its majority
Vallfogona de Balaguer (Lleida, 1,935 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%CM majority
- 864valid votes in 2023 (60% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Vallfogona de Balaguer
Vallfogona de Balaguer is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 1,935 inhabitants, the 39th largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 69.9% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; ERC - AM was second with 2. 60.3% of the 1,434 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 69.9% → 65.3% 7 → 6 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 22.0% → 29.1% 2 → 3 councillors
- IXVB-CPPSOE 4.9% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 864 valid votes including 28 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.