Naut Aran: CDA-PNA would keep its majority
Naut Aran (Lleida, 1,923 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 96%CDA-PNA majority
- 1,053valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CDA-PNA±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 53.0% of the vote (2023: 53.7%)
Majority 96%
UA-PSC-CP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 27.2% of the vote (2023: 32.2%)
Majority 0%
AA-AM±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 9.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 4% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CDA-PNALocal lists 53.7% → 53.0% 5 → 5 councillors
- UA-PSC-CPPSOE 32.2% → 27.2% 3 → 3 councillors
- AA-AMERC 9.9% → 12.1% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 0.9% → 4.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- PRAGLocal lists 2.8% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,053 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.