Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Seròs: CM would keep its majority

Seròs (Lleida, 1,890 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 57.3% of the vote (2023: 64.4%) Majority 91%
ERC - AM+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 39.2% of the vote (2023: 31.1%) Majority 9%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 64.4% → 57.3% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 31.1% → 39.2% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 1.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 840 valid votes including 26 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Seròs in size, in Lleida

Every municipality in Lleida → · All of Spain →