Soses: ERC - AM would win a majority
Soses (Lleida, 1,784 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 85%ERC - AM majority
- 853valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 15% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Soses
Soses is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 1,784 inhabitants, the 44th largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 ERC - AM came first with 43% of the vote and 4 seats; CM was second with 3. 77.5% of the 1,101 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps ERC - AM on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 85% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 43.0% → 52.7% 4 → 5 councillors
- CMJunts 34.2% → 29.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 20.2% → 16.2% 2 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 1.2% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 853 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.