Soses: ERC - AM would win a majority
Soses (Lleida, 1,784 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 85%ERC - AM majority
- 853valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ERC - AM+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 52.7% of the vote (2023: 43.0%)
Majority 85%
CM±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 29.6% of the vote (2023: 34.2%)
Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 16.2% of the vote (2023: 20.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 15% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 43.0% → 52.7% 4 → 5 councillors
- CMJunts 34.2% → 29.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 20.2% → 16.2% 2 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 1.2% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 853 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.