Oliana: no list would have a majority, CM largest
Oliana (Lleida, 1,849 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 51%CM majority
- 991valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 37% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Oliana
Oliana is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 1,849 inhabitants, the 43rd largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 49.8% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; FO - AM was second with 3. 73.2% of the 1,353 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CM would be largest on 4 of 9.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 49.8% → 44.5% 5 → 4 councillors
- FO - AMERC 30.3% → 38.3% 3 → 4 councillors
- C.U.P. - AMUNTCUP 9.8% → 10.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- CXO - CPPSOE 8.9% → 6.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 991 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.