Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Oliana: no list would have a majority, CM largest

Oliana (Lleida, 1,849 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 44.5% of the vote (2023: 49.8%) Majority 51%
FO - AM+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 38.3% of the vote (2023: 30.3%) Majority 12%
C.U.P. - AMUNT±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.0% of the vote (2023: 9.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 37% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 49.8% → 44.5% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. FO - AMERC 30.3% → 38.3% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. C.U.P. - AMUNTCUP 9.8% → 10.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. CXO - CPPSOE 8.9% → 6.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 991 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Oliana in size, in Lleida

Every municipality in Lleida → · All of Spain →