Aitona: ARA PL would keep its majority
Aitona (Lleida, 2,521 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 98%ARA PL majority
- 1,170valid votes in 2023 (81% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Aitona
Aitona is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 2,521 inhabitants, the 28th largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 ARA PL came first with 62% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; AR-AM was second with 3. 81.1% of the 1,443 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps ARA PL on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 98% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ARA PLLocal lists 62.0% → 58.4% 8 → 7 councillors
- AR-AMERC 30.6% → 35.7% 3 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 6.0% → 4.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,170 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.