Aitona: ARA PL would keep its majority
Aitona (Lleida, 2,521 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 98%ARA PL majority
- 1,170valid votes in 2023 (81% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ARA PL−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 58.4% of the vote (2023: 62.0%)
Majority 98%
AR-AM+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 35.7% of the vote (2023: 30.6%)
Majority 2%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ARA PLLocal lists 62.0% → 58.4% 8 → 7 councillors
- AR-AMERC 30.6% → 35.7% 3 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 6.0% → 4.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,170 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.