Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Bell-lloc d'Urgell: BM - AM would keep its majority

Bell-lloc d'Urgell (Lleida, 2,342 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

BM - AM+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 57.7% of the vote (2023: 49.0%) Majority 96%
CM−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 36.8% of the vote (2023: 44.2%) Majority 4%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. BM - AMERC 49.0% → 57.7% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. CMJunts 44.2% → 36.8% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 3.0% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,128 valid votes including 42 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Bell-lloc d'Urgell in size, in Lleida

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