Bell-lloc d'Urgell: BM - AM would keep its majority
Bell-lloc d'Urgell (Lleida, 2,342 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 96%BM - AM majority
- 1,128valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Bell-lloc d'Urgell
Bell-lloc d'Urgell is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 2,342 inhabitants, the 29th largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 BM - AM came first with 49% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; CM was second with 5. 64.8% of the 1,742 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps BM - AM on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 96% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- BM - AMERC 49.0% → 57.7% 6 → 7 councillors
- CMJunts 44.2% → 36.8% 5 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 3.0% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,128 valid votes including 42 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.