Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

San Bartolomé de Tirajana: no list would have a majority, PP-AV largest

San Bartolomé de Tirajana (Las Palmas, 52,936 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP-AV+1
8 councillors (2023: 7) · 28.1% of the vote (2023: 26.4%) Majority 0%
CCA−2
5 councillors (2023: 7) · 19.9% of the vote (2023: 23.8%) Majority 0%
NC-FAC±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 17.8% of the vote (2023: 16.7%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 17.2% of the vote (2023: 19.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
2 councillors (2023: 0) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 4.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PP-AVLocal lists 26.4% → 28.1% 7 → 8 councillors
  2. CCACoalición Canaria 23.8% → 19.9% 7 → 5 councillors
  3. NC-FACLocal lists 16.7% → 17.8% 5 → 5 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 19.9% → 17.2% 6 → 5 councillors
  5. VOXVox 4.2% → 9.1% 0 → 2 councillors
  6. HABLEMOS AHORALocal lists 4.1% → 4.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. TSBTMELocal lists 1.3% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. UXGCLocal lists 1.2% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. USPSumar, Podemos and allies 1.5% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 20,294 valid votes including 193 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near San Bartolomé de Tirajana in size, in Las Palmas

Every municipality in Las Palmas → · All of Spain →