Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Santa Lucía de Tirajana: no list would have a majority, NC-FAC largest

Santa Lucía de Tirajana (Las Palmas, 74,560 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

NC-FAC±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 29.8% of the vote (2023: 30.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 17.4% of the vote (2023: 11.3%) Majority 0%
LA FORTALEZA−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 16.1% of the vote (2023: 16.2%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 13.9% of the vote (2023: 17.6%) Majority 0%
AV-SLT-PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 9.2%) Majority 0%
UXGC±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.6% of the vote (2023: 5.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. NC-FACLocal lists 30.0% → 29.8% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. VOXVox 11.3% → 17.4% 3 → 5 councillors
  3. LA FORTALEZALocal lists 16.2% → 16.1% 5 → 4 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 17.6% → 13.9% 5 → 4 councillors
  5. AV-SLT-PPLocal lists 9.2% → 9.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. UXGCLocal lists 5.6% → 5.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. SOMOS SANTA LUCÍALocal lists 2.0% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. AHORA CANARIAS-PCPCLocal lists 1.7% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. PLATAFORMA AHORA ANSITELocal lists 1.6% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. USPSumar, Podemos and allies 2.7% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  11. ALIANZA INSULARLocal lists 0.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  12. PFELocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 27,349 valid votes including 374 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santa Lucía de Tirajana in size, in Las Palmas

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