Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Telde: no list would have a majority, CIUCA largest

Telde (Las Palmas, 102,472 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CIUCA±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 23.1% of the vote (2023: 22.2%) Majority 0%
NC-FAC+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 14.8% of the vote (2023: 14.2%) Majority 0%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 12.5% of the vote (2023: 13.5%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 12.2% of the vote (2023: 15.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.7% of the vote (2023: 6.3%) Majority 0%
CCA−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 7.9% of the vote (2023: 9.6%) Majority 0%
+XT±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 6.2% of the vote (2023: 5.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Telde

Telde is a municipality in the province of Las Palmas with 102,472 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 34 municipalities. Its council has 27 seats, and 14 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CIUCA came first with 22.2% of the vote and 7 seats; PSOE was second with 5. 53.8% of the 85,658 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CIUCA would be largest on 7 of 27.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CIUCALocal lists 22.2% → 23.1% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. NC-FACLocal lists 14.2% → 14.8% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. PPPP 13.5% → 12.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 15.1% → 12.2% 5 → 4 councillors
  5. VOXVox 6.3% → 11.7% 2 → 3 councillors
  6. CCACoalición Canaria 9.6% → 7.9% 3 → 2 councillors
  7. +XTLocal lists 5.9% → 6.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  8. UXGCLocal lists 2.5% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. IPTELDELocal lists 2.1% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. DVCLocal lists 1.6% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  11. HABLEMOS AHORALocal lists 1.3% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  12. LO NUESTROLocal lists 0.7% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  13. RDGLocal lists 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  14. REUNIR CANARIAS SOSTENIBLELocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  15. 3ELocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  16. AHORA CANARIAS-PCPCLocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  17. USPSumar, Podemos and allies 2.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 46,053 valid votes including 733 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Telde in size, in Las Palmas

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