Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Artenara: PP would keep its majority

Artenara (Las Palmas, 1,030 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 51.3% of the vote (2023: 50.0%) Majority 80%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 32.2% of the vote (2023: 34.6%) Majority 1%
NC-FAC±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.1% of the vote (2023: 13.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 19% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Artenara

Artenara is a municipality in the province of Las Palmas with 1,030 inhabitants, the 33rd largest of its 34 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 50% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 80.2% of the 985 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 80% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 50.0% → 51.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 34.6% → 32.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. NC-FACLocal lists 13.0% → 14.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. UXGCLocal lists 0.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. CCACoalición Canaria 0.4% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 790 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Artenara in size, in Las Palmas

Every municipality in Las Palmas → · All of Spain →