Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Betancuria: UPBE would keep its majority

Betancuria (Las Palmas, 789 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UPBE+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 67.5% of the vote (2023: 60.8%) Majority over 99%
CCA−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 32.0% of the vote (2023: 36.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UPBELocal lists 60.8% → 67.5% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. CCACoalición Canaria 36.7% → 32.0% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 1.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PPPP 0.2% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. VOXVox 0.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 551 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Betancuria in size, in Las Palmas

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