Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Tinajo: CCA would keep its majority

Tinajo (Las Palmas, 6,573 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CCA±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 57.4% of the vote (2023: 62.4%) Majority over 99%
MRT-NC±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.7% of the vote (2023: 15.1%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.2% of the vote (2023: 15.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CCACoalición Canaria 62.4% → 57.4% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. MRT-NCLocal lists 15.1% → 17.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 15.5% → 14.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 1.4% → 5.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PPPP 4.0% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,162 valid votes including 51 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Tinajo in size, in Las Palmas

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