Tinajo: CCA would keep its majority
Tinajo (Las Palmas, 6,573 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%CCA majority
- 3,162valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Tinajo
Tinajo is a municipality in the province of Las Palmas with 6,573 inhabitants, the 28th largest of its 34 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CCA came first with 62.4% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 64.8% of the 4,883 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CCA on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CCACoalición Canaria 62.4% → 57.4% 9 → 9 councillors
- MRT-NCLocal lists 15.1% → 17.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 15.5% → 14.2% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 1.4% → 5.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 4.0% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,162 valid votes including 51 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.